Chapada Diamantina National Park

03/25/2019 at 11:47 pm

Chapada Diamantina National Park has got to be the best national park nobody has ever heard of. Just on its own it is one of the nicest national parks I have ever been to. Throw in that nobody outside of Brazil is even aware of its existence and you have a wonderful place to visit with very few crowds.

We visited the week before the Sao Joao Festival which is the largest festival in the northeast of Brazil. Decorations for the festival were already being put up in Lencois. We organized our trip so that we would have 4 full days and 5 nights in Lencois. Our plan was:

Day of Arrival: Visit Pai Ignacio for the views of the canyons.
Day 1: Visit the Poco Encantado and Poco Azul.
Days 2-3: Hike through the Paty Valley
Day 4: Hike to the Sossego Waterfall

We left wishing we could have …

Sunsets and Anacondas: The Brazilian Pantanal

03/25/2019 at 10:34 pm

The Pantanal is one of the best places in the world to see wildlife and extreme biodiversity. We saw over 100 different species of birds and many other reptiles and mammals. Below is a slideshow with some selected photos as well as the list of animals we saw and could identify.

Birds and animals we saw:
Giant anteater
Lesser anteater
Greater bulldog bat
Ring tailed coati
Pantanal deer
Red broker deer
Crab eating fox
Onça (jaguar)
Brown capuchin monkey
Howler monkey (female and male)
Common river otter
Giant river otter

Chestnut eared aracari
Uncolored blackbird
Shiny blackbird
Yellow rumKet Cacique
Solitary cacique
Southern caracara
Yellow-beaked cardinal
Red-crested cardinal
Arancuã / Chaco chachalaca
Bare faced Curassow
Black capped donacobius
Long-tailed ground Dove
Whistling ducks
Great egret
Snowy egret
Cattle Egret
Purple gallinule
Red throated piping guan
Chestnut-colored guan
Gira cuckoo
Roadside hawk
Black colored hawk…

Rafting the Middle Fork of the Salmon River

03/25/2019 at 9:48 pm

Last summer I disconnected and ventured deep into the Idaho wilderness to go on a 6 day whitewater rafting trip down the Middle Fork of the Salmon river. We managed to win a permit for the Middle Fork of the Salmon River lottery. There is an average of 4 permits available each day (total 387 for the season) and there were 13,265 entries in the 2018 lottery. This trip is on almost every list of the best whitewater rafting trips in the world and deservedly so. We got to experience it as a family in August 2018 under sunny skies and a new moon. My youngest brother, a former river guide with Far and Away Adventures, was making his 22nd trip down the middle fork.

Located in the Frank Church Wilderness, the Middle Fork of the Salmon river is located in the high desert of Idaho. Because central Idaho …

Famous Quotes about Statistics

02/08/2013 at 1:25 pm

To call in the statistician after the experiment is done may be no more than asking him to perform a post-mortem examination: he may be able to say what the experiment died of. – Sir R.A. Fisher (1938)

All models are wrong, but some are useful. – George Box

Statisticians, like artists, have the bad habit of falling in love with their models. – George Box

The greatest value of a picture is when it forces us to notice what we never expected to see. – John Tukey

Data is the sword of the 21st century, those who wield it well, the Samurai. – Jonathan Rosenberg

Those who ignore Statistics are condemned to reinvent it. – Brad Efron

It ain’t what you don’t know that gets you into trouble. It’s what you know for sure that just ain’t so. – Mark Twain

My thesis is simply this: probability does not …